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Guerra comercial: o impacto das tarifas de EUA e China no setor de tecnologia

Tech Trends: Niraj Patel analisa as recentes tensões comerciais entre EUA e China e seus impactos no setor de tecnologia

Imagem ilustrativa — Crédito: Itaú Private Bank

Nesta edição, Niraj Patel, Chief Equities Strategist do Banco Itaú International, aborda as recentes tensões comerciais entre EUA e China, que resultaram em tarifas recíprocas e causaram uma grande correção nos mercados de ações, incluindo o setor de tecnologia.

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A administração Trump anunciou tarifas abrangentes em 2 de abril, superando as expectativas do mercado. A China retaliou, levando a uma escalada adicional. Apesar de algumas isenções para semicondutores, o setor ainda sofreu uma correção devido à sensibilidade econômica e ao impacto potencial de uma guerra tarifária.
Desde os anúncios de 2 de abril, as "Magnificent 7", consideradas as maiores e mais influentes empresas de tecnologia do mundo, perderam mais de US$ 2 trilhões em valor de mercado. As ações da Apple e da Tesla caíram mais de 20% nesse período. A Tesla, em particular, enfrentou pressão adicional devido à sua fábrica em Xangai e vendas na China.
No campo da IA, a Meta lançou seu mais recente modelo Llama 4, enquanto o Google apresentou os modelos Gemini 2.5 Pro. Ambos obtiveram pontuações altas e demonstraram capacidades de raciocínio complexo. Enquanto isso, a Microsoft anunciou atrasos na construção de alguns de seus data centers.
A startup Colossal Biosciences fez um anúncio polêmico sobre a recriação do lobo-terrível após 10.000 anos, gerando ceticismo entre cientistas. Este desenvolvimento levanta questões sobre os limites da ciência.
Adiante, o setor de tecnologia divulgará os resultados do primeiro trimestre em abril, começando com a Netflix em 17 de abril. Os investidores estarão atentos aos impactos da volatilidade tarifária e possíveis quedas na demanda. Contudo, ainda é possível enxergar oportunidades de longo prazo em meio à volatilidade de curto prazo.

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