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if(!vwo_$.fn.vwoRevertHtml){
return;
};
var ctx=vwo_$(x),el;
/*vwo_debug log("Revert","content",""); vwo_debug*/;
el=vwo_$('[vwo-element-id="1718819783052"]');
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if(!vwo_$.fn.vwoRevertHtml){
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if(!vwo_$.fn.vwoRevertHtml){
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var el,ctx=vwo_$(x);
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if(!vwo_$.fn.vwoRevertHtml){
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var el,ctx=vwo_$(x);
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if(!vwo_$.fn.vwoRevertHtml){
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var el,ctx=vwo_$(x);
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if(!vwo_$.fn.vwoRevertHtml){
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var el,ctx=vwo_$(x);
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PIB dos EUA desacelera no terceiro trimestre No Radar do Mercado: PIB dos EUA no terceiro trimestre vem ligeiramente abaixo do esperado, mas mostra demanda doméstica resiliente, com mercados aguardando decisão do Fed na próxima semana. Já na Europa, PIB surpreende e afasta expectativas de corte de juros mais intenso
Por Itaú Private Bank
30 de out. de 2024
documento_outline 5 minutos de leitura
Salvar artigo para depois O Escritório de Análise Econômica (BEA, na sigla em inglês) dos EUA divulgou hoje a primeira estimativa do PIB americano no terceiro trimestre de 2024. No período, o indicador avançou 2,8% na comparação trimestral anualizada, desacelerando em relação aos 3,0% registrados no segundo trimestre do ano e abaixo da mediana das estimativas do mercado, que também era de 3,0%.
Segundo o BEA, a desaceleração em comparação ao trimestre anterior foi puxada pela redução em estoques privados e nos investimentos fixos residenciais. Esses movimentos, no entanto, foram parcialmente compensados por acelerações nas exportações, nos gastos dos consumidores e nos gastos do governo.
Nossa visão: ainda que seja a primeira leitura do PIB do terceiro trimestre e que o resultado tenha vindo um pouco abaixo da estimativa do mercado, o número reforça o cenário de uma economia americana resiliente, oferecendo suporte a alguns membros do Federal Reserve (Fed, o banco central dos EUA) que têm se mostrando abertos a uma eventual pausa no ciclo de cortes dos juros. Ainda assim, o mercado deve seguir com a precificação de um corte de 0,25 ponto percentual na reunião da próxima semana.
PIB da Zona do Euro supera expectativas O PIB da Zona do Euro avançou 0,4% no terceiro trimestre em relação ao trimestre anterior, de acordo com o Escritório de Estatística da União Europeia (Eurostat). O resultado veio acima das expectativas do mercado, que eram de crescimento de 0,2%, e mostraram uma aceleração em relação ao trimestre anterior, quando o resultado foi de 0,2% de crescimento.
A divulgação preliminar de hoje não apresenta maiores detalhes quanto à composição do crescimento da região, mas, em relação aos principais países do bloco, Alemanha, Espanha e França registraram crescimento acima das expectativas, enquanto a Itália surpreendeu um pouco para baixo.
Nossa visão: no geral, o dado de atividade acima do esperado reduz as expectativas de um corte mais intenso de juros na próxima reunião do Banco Central Europeu (BCE) em dezembro. Por ora, mantemos nossa projeção de crescimento de 0,7% e 1,0% para o PIB de 2024 e 2025, respectivamente.
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